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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.24-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.98vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.35+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.04-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-0.83vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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2.43University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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4.98University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.71Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 16.1% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 25.4% | 26.4% | 20.9% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 33.2% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 7.8% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 12.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Clara Brown | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 30.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 13.7% | 24.3% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.