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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04+1.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.35+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.60-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.16+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03-4.21vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.79University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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6.72Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.0% | 26.8% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 15.0% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 8.1% |
| Clara Brown | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 24.5% | 28.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 25.0% | 25.5% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 25.3% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.