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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+0.71vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.35+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.49-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.99vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.72Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.3% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 25.9% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| Clara Brown | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 14.8% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 9.3% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.