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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.36vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.35+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.49-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.75vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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5.39Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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3.48University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.74Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.9% | 26.9% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 12.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 26.7% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 15.2% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 48.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 10.5% |
| Clara Brown | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 28.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.