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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.38vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.35+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.49-2.51vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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4.96University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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6.77Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.9% | 26.3% | 18.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 12.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 25.8% | 25.2% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 15.3% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 52.1% |
| Clara Brown | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 26.9% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.