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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+0.71vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+3.68vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.35+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.49-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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6.68Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.36Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.0% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 25.9% | 25.8% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 49.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.8% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 14.7% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 9.6% |
| Clara Brown | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.