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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.78vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.35-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-0.81vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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3.52University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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4.22University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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5.35Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.72Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.6% | 25.7% | 19.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 14.3% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 27.2% | 24.7% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 13.0% |
| Clara Brown | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.