Race 6B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 16.4% 16.6% 14.6% 15.0% 11.5% 10.1% 7.2% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 21.5% 19.5% 15.3% 13.8% 10.2% 8.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 9.2% 7.9% 10.0% 10.1% 9.5% 12.3% 13.7% 11.1% 9.5% 5.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 10.0% 13.3% 13.5% 11.1% 12.7% 12.1% 9.3% 8.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 10.2% 10.8% 11.4% 11.6% 13.7% 11.4% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.6% 7.9% 6.9% 8.1% 9.4% 10.7% 11.2% 13.9% 13.4% 9.2% 2.5% 0.2%
T. Max Bulger 9.1% 8.8% 9.7% 11.2% 10.0% 10.5% 12.9% 9.5% 9.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Tom Peabody 9.9% 8.2% 10.1% 9.3% 9.7% 12.3% 9.5% 13.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Zachary O'Brien 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 6.3% 9.8% 13.3% 29.6% 19.9% 5.0%
John Duncan 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 8.1% 6.5% 9.8% 13.2% 18.4% 16.9% 7.0% 1.2%
Andrew Smith 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.5% 2.4% 5.5% 12.1% 39.7% 32.4%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.4% 2.6% 6.2% 24.0% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.