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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+0.75vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.55+0.74vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26-0.47vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Princeton University0.2751.0%1st Place
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2.74Washington College-0.5519.1%1st Place
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3.69Rutgers University-1.508.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Delaware-1.269.8%1st Place
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3.29Drexel University-0.9311.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 51.0% | 29.6% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 19.1% | 25.9% | 26.7% | 18.4% | 9.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 8.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 36.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 26.0% | 30.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 11.9% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 26.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.