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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04+0.23vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.35+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.49-2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-0.85vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
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4.95University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.69Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 30.3% | 27.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 28.4% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 12.7% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 15.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Clara Brown | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 26.6% | 29.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 23.0% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.