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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.35+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.49-1.55vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.04-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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2.67University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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4.94University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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6.72Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 30.6% | 27.1% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 12.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 27.7% | 24.0% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 8.7% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 15.3% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 48.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 10.8% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Clara Brown | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.