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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.49+0.47vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.35+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.60-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.04-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-0.83vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.63-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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3.47University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.68Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 31.7% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 26.9% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 12.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Clara Brown | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 26.0% | 29.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 22.7% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.