← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois1.49+2.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan2.03+0.66vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.63+3.67vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin2.09-1.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.79vs Predicted
-
6University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.05vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.35-1.58vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.4University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
-
2.66University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
-
6.67Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
-
2.62University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
-
4.21University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
-
4.95University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
5.42Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
-
6.06University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 27.8% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 48.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 28.8% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 10.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 8.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 14.7% |
| Clara Brown | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.