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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.78vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41-1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 53.0% | 27.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.7% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 3.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 14.5% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.4% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 2.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 38.0% | 7.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.