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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+1.41vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.13-0.33vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.20+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.30-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.24University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 54.0% | 25.8% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 14.6% | 22.7% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Quinn | 10.5% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 35.8% | 7.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.1% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 3.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 2.6% |
| John Cayen | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.