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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.30+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.64+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.34vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.13-2.37vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.27University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.63Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 52.6% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 14.7% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.4% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 1.7% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.6% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 37.5% | 7.6% |
| John Cayen | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.