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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.77vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.41+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.36vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 52.7% | 28.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.5% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 15.6% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 1.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 2.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 36.8% | 7.6% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.