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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.23vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+2.67vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.13-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.64-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.28+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.30-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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1.77University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 14.9% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 52.4% | 27.2% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 37.5% | 8.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.0% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 1.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 7.6% | 84.6% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.