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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.13+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.64+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.30-0.07vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.20-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.26University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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5.63Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 53.5% | 27.8% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 15.0% | 21.9% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.1% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 2.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 35.4% | 7.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 2.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.