Race 7B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.7% 18.9% 19.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.7% 5.2% 2.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 16.6% 18.7% 14.9% 14.3% 11.1% 8.4% 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 12.0% 8.5% 12.3% 10.6% 10.5% 11.8% 12.9% 11.9% 6.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 6.6% 8.7% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 10.7% 10.2% 13.0% 10.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.9% 9.9% 10.3% 12.1% 12.6% 12.0% 9.0% 3.6% 0.3%
Trevor Burd 11.8% 12.9% 10.1% 12.3% 12.2% 12.8% 10.0% 8.4% 6.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Timothy Scanlon 10.1% 9.4% 8.8% 11.0% 11.3% 11.6% 10.9% 11.3% 9.4% 4.2% 1.9% 0.1%
T. Max Bulger 9.8% 8.7% 9.9% 9.2% 10.4% 10.7% 12.1% 10.9% 10.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3%
John Duncan 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 7.5% 10.3% 10.2% 12.4% 17.7% 17.4% 6.5% 0.7%
Andrew Smith 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 5.0% 16.2% 37.2% 30.3%
Zachary O'Brien 2.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% 3.2% 6.4% 7.3% 13.1% 29.1% 21.7% 7.6%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 5.9% 24.0% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.