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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+0.77vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.55+0.72vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26-0.44vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Princeton University0.2750.0%1st Place
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2.72Washington College-0.5520.2%1st Place
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3.67Rutgers University-1.508.6%1st Place
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3.56University of Delaware-1.269.0%1st Place
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3.28Drexel University-0.9312.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 50.0% | 30.0% | 14.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 20.2% | 25.8% | 25.7% | 18.9% | 9.4% |
| Marlon Wool | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 37.4% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 25.7% | 31.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 27.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.