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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+0.90vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+1.95vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.30-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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2.9University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.95Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.31Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 57.2% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 15.9% | 28.4% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 39.4% | 8.7% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.4% | 19.6% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 15.0% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.7% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 3.8% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 26.8% | 22.7% | 3.3% |
| John Cayen | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.