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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.66vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41-1.09vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.20-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.30-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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3.23Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.99Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 55.9% | 28.3% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 12.3% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 21.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 3.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 17.1% | 25.1% | 25.3% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 39.6% | 9.5% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 23.5% | 3.4% |
| John Cayen | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.