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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.31vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.13-2.36vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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1.77University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Illinois0.300.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 16.5% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 52.3% | 28.2% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 11.0% | 1.4% |
| Michael Rivkin | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 21.3% | 3.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.2% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 37.4% | 7.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.