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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.79vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.41-2.78vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 51.7% | 28.4% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.7% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 21.5% | 3.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 1.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 15.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 37.6% | 7.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.