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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.13-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.34vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.20-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.30-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.24University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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3.68Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.63Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Illinois0.300.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 53.9% | 25.7% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 14.7% | 22.1% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Quinn | 10.7% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 1.8% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 36.1% | 7.6% |
| Michael Rivkin | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 3.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.