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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.77vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.41+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.64-1.64vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.28-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 52.5% | 28.0% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.1% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 15.5% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 3.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 1.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 36.9% | 7.8% |
| John Cayen | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.