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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+1.03vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.04vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28-0.73vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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3.03University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.53Maine Maritime Academy0.720.2%1st Place
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2.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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4.27Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.9Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.2% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 22.6% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Mott Blair | 17.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 24.0% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 10.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 21.7% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 17.5% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.