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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.88vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.52vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.28+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.88vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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2.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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3.52Maine Maritime Academy0.720.2%1st Place
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4.26Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.12University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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4.88Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.6% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 25.0% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Mott Blair | 16.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 9.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 20.6% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 21.2% |
| Kai Latham | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.