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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.05vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.52vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.52vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.28+0.24vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14-0.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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3.52Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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3.52Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.24Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.91Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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2.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 23.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Mott Blair | 14.9% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 10.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 27.4% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 24.7% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Kai Latham | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.