Race 8B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 16.9% 15.9% 14.7% 15.4% 12.2% 9.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 7.7% 8.2% 10.9% 10.7% 9.7% 11.3% 13.3% 11.7% 9.5% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Trevor Burd 13.0% 10.9% 12.2% 10.4% 12.0% 11.5% 11.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 6.2% 9.0% 9.1% 11.3% 10.8% 11.0% 11.0% 13.0% 10.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.1%
Marlena Fauer 22.3% 20.6% 14.5% 12.2% 9.5% 8.7% 5.5% 3.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 10.8% 10.4% 11.6% 11.2% 12.4% 10.5% 6.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Zachary O'Brien 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 15.0% 26.2% 21.1% 6.3%
Robert Lippincott 7.3% 6.5% 8.4% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 10.9% 12.4% 12.9% 9.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Jessica Claflin 10.3% 11.2% 14.0% 11.6% 13.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.0% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.6% 4.3% 5.0% 4.6% 7.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.0% 17.1% 18.9% 7.5% 1.1%
Andrew Smith 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 5.4% 12.8% 39.2% 32.1%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.6% 3.5% 7.1% 23.9% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.