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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+0.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.40vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14+0.52vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28-1.10vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.84-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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2.73University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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2.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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4.52Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.9Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.48Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 19.6% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 26.7% | 22.8% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 29.5% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 12.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 5.7% |
| John Egger | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 35.5% |
| Kai Latham | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 24.1% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.