← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.69+2.20vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy-0.84+3.46vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-0.14+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.28-1.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.37vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.02-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
-
5.46Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
-
2.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
-
4.51Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
-
3.92Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
-
2.67University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 19.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| John Egger | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 26.1% | 34.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 28.8% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 6.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 13.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 5.2% |
| Kai Latham | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 23.2% | 42.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 29.3% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.