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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+1.76vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.37vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.28-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.67vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14-1.50vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.84-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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3.2Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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2.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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3.86Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.5Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.39Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 26.5% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.0% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 27.5% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 5.3% |
| Kai Latham | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 23.4% | 42.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 14.0% |
| John Egger | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 27.0% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.