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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.14+3.38vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.27vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.28+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-1.22vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.84+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.37vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.27Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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3.85Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.78University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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5.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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2.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Leshaw | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 11.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.6% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 24.3% | 25.1% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| John Egger | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 25.8% | 37.9% |
| Kai Latham | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 41.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 31.5% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.