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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.32vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.74vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.97-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45+1.76vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.25+2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+4.16vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.54-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.00+1.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.91vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.43-2.34vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.59-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.39-2.11vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.76University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.86California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.31San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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10.66Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.31Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 33.6% | 24.1% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 19.0% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 9.7% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 47.7% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.