← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.19vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.59+0.58vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.97+0.69vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego1.45+2.49vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.03vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.82vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-0.43+4.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.28-3.55vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University1.54-2.71vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+3.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.00-0.08vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University0.59-2.75vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.25-2.71vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University0.43-4.38vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.39-3.03vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
-
2.58Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
-
3.69University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.49University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
5.97California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
8.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
12.91University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.29San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
-
14.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
-
11.92University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
-
10.25Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
11.29University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
-
10.62Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.97University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
-
15.29California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 33.0% | 25.6% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.1% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 24.9% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael McCulloch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 9.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.