← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.28+4.21vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.59+0.59vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.31vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.91vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.97-1.35vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.17vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.25+4.13vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.45-0.45vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.43+4.18vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University1.54-2.72vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.43-1.41vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.01-1.06vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.39-1.01vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University0.59-4.85vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.75vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
2.59Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
-
4.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
-
5.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
3.65University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
-
8.17University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
13.18University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.28San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
10.59Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.94University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
-
10.15Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
14.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
-
15.29California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 32.1% | 25.3% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 11.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.6% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 9.7% |
| Blake Buckner | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 10.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.