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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-0.23vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.54+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45+0.69vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-2.23vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.25+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43+2.11vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.43-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+1.18vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.59-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.39-2.15vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.01-4.04vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.23San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.77California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.63Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.31Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 34.8% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 17.7% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 10.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 23.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 9.5% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.