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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.69vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.54+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+0.19vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.39+5.93vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.00+3.75vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.11vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.45-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+1.06vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.59-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.25-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.77vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.34San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.94California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.66Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.17Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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15.31California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 33.0% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.3% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 16.2% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 10.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 23.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.