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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+9.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+6.75vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.28+5.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+4.74vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+4.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+3.73vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38+0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.73-2.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03+0.29vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-3.17vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-7.12vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.74vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.50vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-8.24vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.85George Washington University1.823.3%1st Place
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6.7Stanford University3.1510.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston College2.584.2%1st Place
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9.87Tulane University2.284.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island2.784.6%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University3.1810.3%1st Place
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11.73University of Miami2.322.8%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.385.7%1st Place
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7.92Brown University2.737.8%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy2.606.8%1st Place
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12.29Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.313.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.4%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.406.0%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| William Michels | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 17.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.