Race 9B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Timothy Scanlon 8.1% 9.1% 8.7% 9.4% 11.1% 12.4% 12.7% 12.1% 9.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 17.1% 17.7% 14.2% 14.3% 12.3% 8.5% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 9.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.8% 11.1% 11.0% 12.8% 11.9% 11.7% 5.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 9.5% 10.9% 13.0% 11.9% 11.4% 11.3% 9.6% 10.4% 6.8% 4.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.4% 11.9% 12.8% 12.5% 9.4% 2.8% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 21.6% 19.2% 15.3% 14.2% 10.6% 8.5% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 8.7% 7.5% 8.8% 12.0% 17.2% 16.4% 8.3% 2.0%
Trevor Burd 13.0% 12.1% 12.4% 12.1% 11.2% 10.4% 10.8% 9.1% 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 7.1% 8.4% 10.2% 11.3% 10.3% 12.9% 11.8% 10.9% 11.3% 5.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 2.5% 3.6% 6.0% 8.4% 14.2% 27.8% 20.9% 6.2%
Alan Sutton 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 7.7% 22.2% 61.2%
Andrew Smith 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 2.8% 2.1% 2.0% 4.5% 14.2% 40.5% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.