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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.97+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.06vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.54+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.25+5.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28-2.85vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-3.04vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43+2.11vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.43-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.39-0.06vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.59-3.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-0.89vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.01-4.10vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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7.39San Diego State University1.540.0%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.59Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.28Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 33.4% | 24.1% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 24.4% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.