Race 10B

admiral-alymer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Timothy Scanlon 8.4% 9.0% 7.9% 10.5% 10.4% 13.8% 11.2% 12.4% 9.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.2%
T. Max Bulger 7.4% 8.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.7% 9.7% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 5.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Mullins 17.7% 16.5% 16.2% 13.1% 11.9% 9.7% 6.9% 5.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 23.5% 19.5% 14.6% 14.1% 10.2% 8.1% 5.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 12.3% 11.6% 13.5% 11.6% 11.5% 10.0% 10.9% 6.9% 6.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 7.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.1% 11.3% 11.4% 11.9% 11.2% 10.7% 5.7% 2.4% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 10.7% 10.4% 11.7% 12.9% 9.9% 2.8% 0.3%
Alan Sutton 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 4.3% 7.4% 22.0% 59.2%
John Duncan 2.8% 4.2% 4.6% 5.4% 7.9% 9.2% 9.9% 14.2% 18.0% 16.0% 6.5% 1.3%
Zachary O'Brien 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 7.0% 12.8% 27.9% 21.5% 6.4%
Jessica Claflin 9.8% 9.9% 12.5% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2% 11.5% 10.3% 7.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Andrew Smith 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8% 1.7% 3.9% 3.8% 13.2% 39.2% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.