Race 1B

saisa-coed-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hogan O'Donnell 5.4% 6.7% 9.4% 9.6% 11.4% 13.5% 12.8% 12.9% 11.7% 5.2% 1.4%
Brandon Geller 31.2% 22.4% 17.1% 11.6% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Humberto Porrata 6.6% 6.6% 8.3% 9.8% 11.1% 12.7% 12.3% 13.8% 9.9% 6.8% 2.1%
Matthew King 3.8% 5.2% 5.0% 7.6% 7.3% 9.5% 12.7% 15.8% 14.8% 10.3% 8.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.4% 11.9% 12.4% 12.9% 11.8% 13.3% 10.7% 7.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.6%
Brandon DePalma 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 7.9% 12.7% 21.9% 35.8%
Joey Meagher 13.6% 15.4% 14.0% 14.8% 13.8% 8.9% 8.7% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.8%
Aidan Dennis 18.3% 19.1% 17.0% 11.8% 11.7% 9.8% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
David Manley 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 11.6% 10.3% 12.2% 12.4% 11.6% 11.2% 7.2% 2.8%
Cole Woerner 2.0% 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.0% 4.8% 9.4% 8.5% 13.2% 23.2% 25.6%
Lewis Bragg 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 7.9% 10.2% 16.3% 21.6% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.