Race 2B

saisa-coed-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hogan O'Donnell 4.8% 8.5% 8.4% 10.1% 10.4% 13.5% 13.4% 13.1% 10.7% 5.3% 1.8%
Brandon Geller 31.5% 21.7% 17.1% 12.2% 9.1% 5.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew King 4.3% 4.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.3% 8.3% 11.6% 14.9% 15.5% 12.6% 6.6%
Humberto Porrata 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 9.5% 12.0% 12.6% 13.6% 10.9% 10.8% 7.2% 2.1%
Eden Nykamp 10.5% 12.1% 12.2% 12.3% 12.3% 11.7% 11.4% 8.6% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Aidan Dennis 16.7% 18.9% 15.4% 15.0% 11.8% 8.7% 6.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 13.7% 14.8% 15.6% 15.3% 11.1% 10.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Lewis Bragg 2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 5.2% 5.6% 8.1% 11.6% 13.8% 21.0% 24.5%
David Manley 6.4% 7.1% 8.5% 9.4% 11.1% 12.3% 12.2% 12.8% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5%
Brandon DePalma 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 7.5% 8.2% 12.3% 18.8% 35.6%
Cole Woerner 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.4% 6.3% 6.1% 9.6% 16.0% 22.6% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.