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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+4.96vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.95vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33+2.98vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.11+4.92vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.97-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.28+0.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-2.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.80-5.15vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.33vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-6.20vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-1.81vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.95Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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5.98North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.92The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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4.45Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.12University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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2.85College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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9.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.8University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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9.54Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew King | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 29.5% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 23.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 16.2% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.