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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+2.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.96vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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4.52Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.82Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.25Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.19Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.1% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Carter Brock | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| Celia Houston | 10.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 22.9% |
| Grant Adam | 15.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.5% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.2% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.