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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+2.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.76vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+0.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.22Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.5% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Celia Houston | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| Grant Adam | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 8.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Carter Brock | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 23.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 16.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 26.8% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.