← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.66+2.63vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+2.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.03vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.64-0.18vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.38-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.18-1.44vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.31-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.63Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
-
4.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
3.03University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
-
3.82Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
-
4.26Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.19Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| Celia Houston | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 21.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.2% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Grant Adam | 15.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Carter Brock | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 23.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.