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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+1.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+1.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+0.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38-0.75vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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4.25Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.43Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 26.9% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.5% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Grant Adam | 14.6% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Celia Houston | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 23.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| Carter Brock | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.