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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+0.57vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.39vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.69vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.77Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.11Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 23.6% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Grant Adam | 16.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% |
| Celia Houston | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| Carter Brock | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 22.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.